Wednesday Wealth Recap
- The toughest part of investing isn’t managing your money. It’s managing your emotions. Alexander Green explains why most investors struggle with this.
- While all eyes are on Tesla and other tech stocks, a boom in commodities is quietly gaining steam. Nicholas Vardy reveals why this “commodity supercycle” is going to continue well into the next decade.
- On a beautiful beach in Nicaragua some nine years ago, Engineering Strategist David Fessler had a terrifying near-death experience. It led to a treatment of intensive therapy and opioid prescriptions. But once Dave tried cannabis for his pain… it changed his life.
A friend of mine is a serious investor. I don’t mean he’s got millions of dollars. He doesn’t.
But he takes his investments seriously, is constantly learning about different areas of investing and, while he trades a little bit, for the most part invests for the long term in dividend stocks.
He texted me last week, “I finally cracked and bought some crypto. We’ll see how it goes.”
I’m not surprised.
Since seeing its price cut in half in March 2020 from a year earlier, Bitcoin is now up 1,000%. Some experts are calling for it to go up an additional 1,000% from here.
I own a very small amount of Bitcoin and have made nine times my money.
Can It Go Higher?
Everyone wants to know if Bitcoin can continue its impressive rise.
It absolutely can go higher. It also can go lower (thanks for the prophecy, Nostradamus).
So can the other cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin isn’t the only fish in the sea.
You may be wondering why I’m even talking about Bitcoin. Very few cryptocurrencies pay dividends or generate any income.
I’m writing about it today because so many of you are interested and want to know how Bitcoin fits into your overall portfolio.
Some believe crypto is a mania. Many have equated it to the 17th-century tulip bubble in the Netherlands.
Nearly 400 years ago, people bid up the prices of tulips to ridiculous levels and flipped them like day traders.
Bitcoin shouldn’t be compared to tulip mania. A more accurate parallel is the dot-com boom.
After that bubble burst, there were still quality companies left that went on to become giant successes – like Amazon (Nasdaq: AMZN) and eBay (Nasdaq: EBAY).
Sure, their stock prices came down, but they eventually rallied and made long-term shareholders rich.
The companies that were junk (and there were many of them) collapsed.
I suspect that’s what will happen in cryptocurrencies. The prices of Bitcoin and other cryptos could still go considerably higher.
But I wasn’t surprised that their prices fell hard last year, shaking out traders who had no business holding these assets to begin with. It got ugly and painful – just like all mania reversals. It could happen again.
But if you’re in the right currencies for the right time frame, you could do well.
If you’re interested in getting in on the action, here’s what I suggest.
- Decide how much you’re willing to lose. If you’ve ever gone to a casino and were smart about it, you had a set amount of money that you were willing to kiss goodbye if lady luck did not pick you as her dance partner that evening.The same should be true in cryptos. Knowing your total risk will make it easier to hold on when things get volatile or to handle a potential loss.
- Allocate a tiny portion of your portfolio to cryptocurrency. The Oxford Club’s Wealth Pyramid recommends only a small portion of your assets be designated for the riskiest investments. The good news is it doesn’t take much to move the needle.Let’s say you have a $100,000 portfolio and are willing to risk 2%, or $2,000, on crypto. If you made 500%, your $2,000 would have turned into $12,000 and your portfolio would have gained 10% just on the crypto alone.
That’s a decent year for a balanced portfolio.
If things go horribly wrong and you lose the entire $2,000, it’s not an insurmountable loss. You can come back from it even with more traditional investments.
- Understand what cryptocurrency is and how it works. Don’t just buy it because it’s going up (or because it went down). If you don’t know what crypto is, learn about it before you buy it. There are many great free online resources to learn about it.The people who got burned the worst in the dot-com boom and bust didn’t know or didn’t care about the companies they bought and why their stock prices were moving in the direction they were.
I avoided a lot of heartache by looking at companies’ financial statements and business plans and by understanding that management teams had no idea how they would ever make money. They were just cashing in on a mania.
So many times I was told I was crazy for not buying certain stocks during that time. When they crashed, I had no stress because I didn’t have exposure to the riskiest names.
Cryptocurrency is an exciting and potentially lucrative investment. Just be sure you understand the opportunity… and the risk.